https://weather-fox.com/the-truth-about-climate-modeling-errors-and-predictions-2-355829/
A good article if one wants the basics of statistical modeling. It’s helpful for explaining how “42” is the answer to “What is Life, the universe and everything?”
“‘No climate model is perfect; errors are an inevitable part of the process. Most errors come from simplifications and assumptions. For example, some processes, like cloud formation, are too tiny to be modeled directly, so scientists use approximations. Other errors come from imperfect data—weather stations break, satellites drift, and measurements can be patchy. …'”
Assumptions are the framework holding all the data together in a rational way. All assumptions are built on what we know — so far.
Another key to a good model is the data, especially the “granularity.” Think of the evolution of the resolution on TV screens and the realism of video games. In my adult lifetime, we’ve seen higher and higher picture quality as tech has crammed more information per square millimeter. we have gone from the game “Pong” to EA Sports games where human movement is almost life like and where programmers have to blur out the players ‘ tattoos to avoid copyright infringement of the tattoo artists.
From Brassville to... (working title) 